Global EV Sales Projected to Reach Nearly 30% of New Car Sales by 2026

The International Energy Agency's (IEA) latest *Global EV Outlook 2026* report projects that global electric vehicle (EV) sales will reach 23 million units in 2026, accounting for nearly 30% of all new car sales—a significant rise from the roughly 5% share seen five or six years ago. Specifically, EV sales in the European market are expected to grow by 20%; sales in Asia-Pacific countries (excluding China) are projected to rise by over 50%; and sales in Latin America are expected to increase by 45%. IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol recently stated that the global EV market has entered a new phase of accelerated growth.


Sales Hit Record Highs in Many Countries


Since the beginning of the year, rising international oil prices have significantly boosted consumer interest in electric vehicles. Coupled with supportive policies across various nations, the global EV market has expanded rapidly. Latest data from Benchmark Mineral Intelligence, a renowned London-based consultancy, shows that global registrations of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) totaled approximately 1.8 million units in May 2026—a 3% year-on-year increase and the third consecutive month of growth.


A recent report by S&P Global Mobility indicates that between March and April of this year, EV sales in 91% of countries and regions worldwide exceeded levels from the same period last year, with 37 countries and regions setting all-time monthly sales records. Notably, 28 countries and regions—including Australia and the UK—broke monthly sales records in March, while nine others, such as Brazil, hit new highs in April. In 28 countries and regions, the EV market share surpassed the 16% threshold—a figure the industry often views as a critical milestone for mass adoption. Regionally, EV sales in Europe rose by nearly 30% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2026; sales in Asia-Pacific countries (excluding China) grew by 80%, and sales in Latin America increased by 75%. Charles Lester, Data Manager at Benchmark Mineral Intelligence, noted that subsidy policies and persistently high fuel prices have stimulated consumer demand for vehicles this year, with many buyers opting to purchase electric vehicles (EVs) sooner than planned. Sales figures reflect a clear shift in consumer behavior; demand is currently robust in certain regions, leading to the rapid depletion of existing inventories. The *Global EV Outlook 2026* report projects that, driven by the increasing competitiveness of EVs and stricter CO2 and fuel efficiency standards, the global EV fleet will reach 510 million vehicles by 2035—more than a sixfold increase from 2025—with EVs accounting for approximately 50% of global vehicle sales.


**Deepening the Electrification of Transport**


A report by the International Energy Agency (IEA) suggests that global measures taken to address the energy crisis "will reshape the global automotive market landscape in the coming years." Data indicates that the global EV fleet in 2025 could reduce daily oil demand by approximately 1.7 million barrels, a figure projected to rise to around 5 million barrels per day by 2030. For nations heavily reliant on oil imports, new energy vehicles—particularly EVs—are emerging as a crucial option for mitigating energy-related risks.


This transformation is currently extending beyond passenger vehicles into broader transportation sectors. The electrification of road transport is accelerating worldwide; by 2025, electric trucks already accounted for 9% of total truck sales. As power battery costs continue to fall and the economic viability of electric trucks improves, their share of global truck sales is expected to exceed 20% by 2035.


Furthermore, EVs are increasingly integrating with artificial intelligence and advanced power electronics, evolving from traditional modes of transport into intelligent energy terminals. The widespread adoption of sophisticated battery management systems, highly efficient charging technologies, and intelligent driving features has made EVs a prime example of "software-defined vehicles." "Energy innovation has become a strategic priority for economies worldwide," said Birol. "With energy security and industrial competitiveness taking center stage, economies that continue to invest in R&D, demonstration, and early-stage deployment will be best positioned to lead in next-generation energy technologies."


Sigrid de Vries, Director General of the European Automobile Manufacturers' Association (ACEA), emphasized the importance of aligning policies, markets, and industrial capabilities to establish a truly sustainable foundation for zero-emission transport. She noted that volatility in global energy markets has once again underscored the need to reduce reliance on fossil fuels. Electrification of transport remains a crucial pathway to enhancing energy security and industrial competitiveness; furthermore, through deep integration with sectors such as power grids, energy storage, and artificial intelligence, it supports the global transition to a green, low-carbon economy and the restructuring of energy systems.


**Chinese Vehicles Stabilize Global Supply Chains**


New energy shuttle buses weaving through the streets of Mexico City are largely of Chinese origin. In April of this year, Brazil’s imports of Chinese electric vehicles (EVs) surged by over 200% year-on-year, making it the single largest destination for Chinese EV exports that month; meanwhile, other Asian nations saw a 20% increase in imports of Chinese EVs, collectively forming the largest regional market.


Driven by robust market demand, Chinese EVs are reshaping the global automotive landscape—thanks to comprehensive industrial supply chains, advantages in smart technology, and rapid delivery capabilities—thereby acting as a key force in stabilizing global supply chains. Data from the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers shows that China's vehicle exports maintained rapid growth from January to May this year, with new energy vehicle exports reaching 1.833 million units—a year-on-year increase of 110%.


An increasing number of overseas consumers are gaining a new appreciation for Chinese vehicles. In Europe, the market share of Chinese EVs has surpassed 15% for the first time, reflecting strong consumer demand. In the United States, Bloomberg has cited various polls indicating significant interest in Chinese automotive brands among a substantial segment of consumers. A survey by Cox Automotive revealed that nearly 40% of U.S. drivers would consider purchasing a Chinese-branded vehicle—a figure that rises to 69% among Gen Z consumers (those born between 1995 and 2009). After recently visiting automotive factories in Beijing and Hefei (Anhui Province), a BBC reporter noted that Chinese automakers not only maintain a lead in the electric vehicle (EV) sector but also demonstrate significant advantages in battery technology, software development, and industrial automation. During the 2026 Beijing Auto Show, Ethan Robertson—an American automotive content creator known as "Wheel Brother"—led a group of fans from over ten countries to tour the booths showcasing Chinese new energy vehicles. Features such as intelligent cockpits, rapid charging capabilities, driver-assistance systems, and comfort-oriented amenities left many overseas consumers exclaiming that the vehicles "exceeded their expectations." Robertson believes that, faced with a landscape long dominated by traditional manufacturers of internal combustion engine vehicles, Chinese automakers chose to carve out a new path in electrification and intelligent technology. Today, China possesses the world's most complete new energy vehicle supply chain; with independent control over everything from batteries and electronic control systems to in-vehicle infotainment, Chinese automakers can rapidly respond to market demands and accelerate product iteration.


For many nations, Chinese new energy vehicles are providing fresh momentum for local green transitions and industrial upgrades. In Thailand, Chinese automakers are transforming the country from a hub for Japanese vehicle assembly into a center for EV manufacturing in Southeast Asia. In France, construction has officially begun on a joint-venture plant established by Xiamen Tungsten New Energy Materials Co., Ltd. and the French group Orano. At the groundbreaking ceremony, Roland Lescure, the French Minister Delegate for Industry and Energy, hailed the plant as a "key link in battery technology R&D and innovation," adding that the joint venture "demonstrates that France and other European nations can collaborate with China in a mutually beneficial way."


A Reuters article noted that, in recent months, there has been a growing trend of Chinese automakers partnering with European companies and utilizing local idle production capacity. As demand in the European market rises, the mature electrification technologies, robust supply chains, and competitive products offered by Chinese automakers are providing more options for the widespread adoption of new energy vehicles in the region.



Jul 10, 2026